Chief-Metronome
0xd13461540781ae1f57bc3a0abfcfa7e33af55558
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$245.36
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-33.50
Win rate
40%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
329 shares @ 57.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$202.34
$14.80
- NO
Will William Moses win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
35 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.98
$2.78
- NO
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
19 shares @ 86.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$4.84
$-11.63
- YES
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.20
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1AM ET
651 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-325.50
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
503 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-236.41
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 4PM ET
475 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-237.50
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
316 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-82.07
- YES
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
248 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-54.56
- YES
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?
129 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$187.53Apr 24, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$63.72Apr 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$123.66Apr 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$405.33Apr 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$208.86Apr 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" this week? (April 12)$362.34Apr 9, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$253.00Apr 9, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$264.50Apr 8, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.06Apr 8, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" this week? (April 12)$323.91Apr 7, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCritical Discord Incident by April 30?$16.77Apr 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$51.84Mar 31, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$48.00Mar 31, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?$60.96Mar 31, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$448.90Mar 30, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$448.90Mar 30, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?$66.04Mar 29, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$118.56Mar 29, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?$89.00Mar 24, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$544.71Mar 24, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $197.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".