Faraway-Cotton
0xd14aa86fa6cac2e09edd9944f5c0c0d48634a8ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$31.6K
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$191.90
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
7900 shares @ 75.1¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.8K
$-168.76
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
12290 shares @ 33.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.9K
$751.84
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6500 shares @ 53.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.6K
$1.2K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
9100 shares @ 54.2¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.2K
$-704.48
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4217 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$482.72
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2400 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$171.60
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
3800 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.6K
$95.00
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
4800 shares @ 42.4¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-498.03
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
9090 shares @ 43.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.2K
$-2.7K
- YES
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
5248 shares @ 20.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$-12.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$285.13May 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.3KMay 18, 02:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.47May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.9KMay 17, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.2KMay 17, 03:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.47May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.0KMay 16, 04:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.4KMay 14, 02:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$0.61May 12, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1.22May 12, 18:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1.22May 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$4.00May 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$22.40May 11, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$92.94May 11, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$0.66May 11, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".