Miserly-Hub
0xd16cf3b0365953257a485e28b6240d1f8e959100
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$71.87
Total PnL
$-75.17
Realised
$8.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
51 shares @ 78.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$33.33
$-6.67
- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?
28 shares @ 65.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$14.47
$-3.53
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
14 shares @ 56.0¢·now 53.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$7.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
8 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$6.12
$0.12
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.59
$-0.41
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.65
$-3.35
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
2 shares @ 72.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.63
$0.38
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
14 shares @ 39.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$-4.44
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
42 shares @ 83.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.36
$-34.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week?$18.25May 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$27.62May 17, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$8.14May 16, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$8.59May 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin visit China by May 31?$0.02May 16, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.22May 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?$19.23May 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$16.06May 15, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.65May 15, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$5.39May 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$25.14May 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$25.16May 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$3.47May 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.42May 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$4.03May 14, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$4.08May 14, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$11.84May 14, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$11.84May 14, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$12.93May 14, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$12.93May 14, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".