Frivolous-Diffuse
0xd188394ebc9757df38f51c43fde165668f58ae31
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$573.40
Total PnL
$-469.42
Realised
$4.88
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?
214 shares @ 28.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 5, 2026$212.89
$152.89
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$82.50
$62.50
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1690 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.78
$3.78
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.74
$18.74
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
578 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.03
$2.03
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
428 shares @ 4.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.76
$5.76
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
39 shares @ 25.9¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.86
$9.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
67 shares @ 34.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.76
$-5.44
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
767 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.41
$4.41
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 90.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.15
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$11.47May 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.02May 12, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.02May 12, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.02May 12, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.02May 12, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?$43.55May 12, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?$20.64May 12, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$10.40May 12, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Kerry be arrested before 2027?$0.20May 12, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$32.07May 12, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.12May 12, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.11May 12, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$6.29May 12, 04:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $10.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".