Grizzled-Belligerency
0xd1af9a097714be3d0d0e2c826fe9a18def28701e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-25.2K
Realised
$592.70
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
451696 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.3K
$-327.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
1050 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.0K
$8.92
- YES
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
5020 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.20
$-115.23
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
6079 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$15.20
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?
507 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.85
$-9.43
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
136 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.34
$-4.83
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
389 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.75
$-0.58
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
570036 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.2K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
73000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-458.95
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
30776 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.47May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.47May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.47May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$137.60May 15, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$860.95May 15, 10:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.47May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.43May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$48.32May 12, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$16.91May 12, 08:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0KMay 9, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.0KMay 9, 22:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$171.32May 6, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.49May 6, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $173.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".