Interesting-Cirrus
0xd1d79f72654a39419f8820ca3779f5d520198c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-414.65
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
912 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$912.00
$264.48
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
731 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$718.21
$118.79
- NO
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
954 shares @ 79.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$500.85
$-252.81
- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
1108 shares @ 30.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$409.96
$77.56
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
388 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.79
$-59.17
- NO
Will Brandon Miller lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
4 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.00
$0.08
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$0.45
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$0.01
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 56.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.13
- UNDER
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
1489 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-506.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$647.52Apr 24, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$63.55Apr 21, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$739.83Apr 11, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$650.40Apr 10, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?$753.66Apr 10, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.00Apr 10, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMOlympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce$375.00Apr 10, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$419.00Apr 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$130.39Apr 9, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$139.16Apr 9, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$339.92Apr 9, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$141.44Apr 7, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$178.60Apr 7, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$27.17Apr 7, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$119.32Apr 7, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-17?$177.00Mar 30, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$11.88Mar 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$84.59Mar 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$7.70Mar 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$39.60Mar 30, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $288.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".