Flaky-Shadow
0xd1eed20edd22a289839379e89e3470ea1742a8ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$9.5K
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
90%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5092 shares @ 18.6¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$2.6K
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4093 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$859.58
$-287.96
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
727 shares @ 86.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$704.07
$72.54
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?
733 shares @ 80.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$575.32
$-16.14
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
13280 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$405.04
$-42.71
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
759 shares @ 51.1¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$387.27
$-0.99
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?
432 shares @ 86.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$351.75
$-20.25
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
364 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$305.70
$10.92
- NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
220 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$193.41
$-6.59
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?
288 shares @ 73.9¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$187.02
$-25.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$114.73May 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$120.67May 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$5.00May 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$1.00May 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$8.07May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$1.25May 17, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$1.62May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$3.00May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$13.00May 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$8.43May 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$7.71May 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$0.68May 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$7.28May 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$4.35May 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$7.99May 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$7.90May 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$5.20May 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$7.15May 16, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?$52.30May 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$401.40May 16, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $33.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".