Mediocre-Density
0xd2171e26fe668d2e64cb524a6d92053d6d54e1da
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$56.43
Total PnL
$-2.59
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
21 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$21.30
$0.10
- HAILEY BAPTISTE
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$11.46
$0.01
- YES
Bitcoin above 79,600 on May 3, 10PM ET?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$4.99
$0.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.77
$0.19
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will DIPA win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 79,600 on May 3, 10PM ET?$4.99May 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$4.99Apr 30, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$4.99Apr 30, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$4.99Apr 30, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.24Apr 30, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.73Apr 30, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$0.00Apr 30, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$4.99Apr 30, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$1.09Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$1.44Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$1.09Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$1.41Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$1.09Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$1.09Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$1.09Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$1.13Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$2.02Apr 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.03Apr 21, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.04Apr 21, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$0.03Apr 21, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".