Authentic-Flexibility
0xd222ac4160be5850c7fa435e7131d9e7cd47fdb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$972.64
Total PnL
$-597.52
Realised
$-105.08
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2018 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$168.50
$-11.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1004 shares @ 16.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.49
$-43.21
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
601 shares @ 28.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.22
$-53.28
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
311 shares @ 30.7¢·now 36.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$112.09
$16.59
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1000 shares @ 23.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.05
$-129.95
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
601 shares @ 16.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.09
$-6.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
202 shares @ 41.6¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.70
$-15.31
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
83 shares @ 39.6¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.77
$0.77
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
206 shares @ 14.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.86
$-1.73
- YES
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?
402 shares @ 8.5¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.67
$-15.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$1.00May 18, 04:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$24.00May 17, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$35.93May 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$1.00May 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$1.00May 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$2.00May 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.01May 17, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$20.50May 17, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$1.00May 17, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$4.10May 17, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$8.00May 17, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.00May 17, 04:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$74.65May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$3.00May 16, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$2.08May 16, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$2.08May 16, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$2.08May 16, 12:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".