Peaceful-Hobbit
0xd2870044582446cada7aac0a0f85b6d109b87e09
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
4418 shares @ 20.4¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$662.65
$-237.34
- NO
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1053 shares @ 42.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$315.85
$-134.14
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3412 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$218.37
$-464.04
- NO
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
325 shares @ 61.5¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$195.16
$-4.83
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4631 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.94
$-99.06
- YES
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1367 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.42
$-96.58
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
17164 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.6K
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
7093 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-759.98
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
710 shares @ 85.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-610.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$52.32May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$102.67May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$102.72May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$206.94May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$206.96May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$300.00Apr 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$100.00Apr 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.1KMar 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$85.86Mar 7, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$250.00Mar 7, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$200.00Mar 7, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$200.00Mar 7, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$200.00Mar 7, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$291.42Feb 26, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$100.00Feb 26, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$100.00Feb 26, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$100.00Feb 26, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$100.00Feb 26, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$150.00Feb 15, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$500.00Feb 15, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $412.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 23:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".