Deficient-Bow
0xd2a4aa24f136f4217d640c0b862a6ed1766c3ee9
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$18.1K
Total PnL
$-866.98
Realised
$4.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4300 shares @ 84.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.3K
$-362.45
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
3800 shares @ 85.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.0K
$-272.49
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
3000 shares @ 81.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.2K
$-227.97
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
2887 shares @ 73.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.7K
$-421.40
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1500 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.5K
$390.40
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1100 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.1K
$344.00
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1428 shares @ 63.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$821.02
$-78.85
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
558 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$548.82
$24.55
- YES
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
629 shares @ 85.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$512.57
$-25.09
- NO
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
540 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$486.00
$-10.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.38May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.05May 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$38.76May 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$17.88May 15, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.00May 15, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$12.00May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$12.60May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.37May 15, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$12.00May 15, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.41May 15, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.64May 15, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$238.99May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$159.33May 15, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$6.00May 15, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.27May 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$31.50May 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$3.30May 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$6.65May 15, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $26.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".