Muffled-Ability
0xd2c3e23b95ac9a8d01038daab7ae41115e2f9cef
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$153.49
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Trump say "Greenland" during events with Rutte?
940 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$940.00
$329.00
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
906 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$905.55
$0.45
- SRI LANKA
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
1094 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$825.97
$-38.29
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
746 shares @ 79.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$732.95
$143.60
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
1381 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$690.50
$-13.81
- LAMAR CARDINALS
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals
676 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$676.00
$95.32
- NO
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?
316 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$316.00
$53.72
- NO
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
158 shares @ 73.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.99
$-51.35
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
28 shares @ 43.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.20
$13.16
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 63.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.47
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$5.10Apr 27, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$101.85Apr 27, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$86.85Apr 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?$125.58Apr 23, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$108.64Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$98.24Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$89.44Apr 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$588.42Apr 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?$78.40Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?$110.60Apr 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$597.76Apr 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$354.45Apr 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$349.86Apr 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$0.32Apr 13, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$89.44Apr 13, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$68.31Apr 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$34.56Apr 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$263.84Apr 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$14.60Apr 12, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$186.99Apr 12, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $237.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".