0xd2f26a2eb2fa5e71af86734fb7270afe49c42f05
0xd2f26a2eb2fa5e71af86734fb7270afe49c42f05
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$139.17
Total PnL
$-13.80
Realised
$-3.62
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
25 shares @ 71.7¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.28
$1.21
- NO
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
17 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$16.77
$0.36
- YES
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
10 shares @ 85.8¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.68
$-0.66
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
16 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.28
$-1.02
- NO
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
6 shares @ 90.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.39
$0.52
- NO
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
7 shares @ 94.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.32
$-0.14
- NO
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
6 shares @ 88.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.74
$0.25
- NO
Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.07
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$1.28May 16, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?$4.71May 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?$1.83May 16, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Williams finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.65May 16, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Enrique Valderrama finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?$1.76May 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$4.07May 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?$1.50May 15, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?$5.00May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.89May 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.01May 15, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$2.09May 14, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$9.15May 14, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$3.70May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$5.01May 14, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$5.00May 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$7.68May 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$2.92May 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$1.07May 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$3.51May 13, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".