Busy-Ultimatum
0xd320b9c991e00628c9b25baee410549a962081a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-258.74
Realised
$-23.90
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- UNDER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
1779 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.8K
$622.65
- YES
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
1394 shares @ 18.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$411.23
$160.31
- MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN EVANGELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
286 shares @ 15.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$143.00
$100.10
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
91 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$73.71
$-0.91
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$-1.04
- YES
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
4 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.10
$-0.18
- GRAND RAPIDS GRIFFINS
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
618 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-382.54
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
486 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-315.90
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
459 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-339.66
- YES
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?
150 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5$1.2KApr 24, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$250.92Apr 24, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$821.44Apr 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$101.68Apr 11, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$448.06Apr 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$36.98Apr 11, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWaymo IPO before 2027?$485.04Apr 10, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$906.00Apr 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$218.94Apr 10, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$394.80Apr 9, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$14.00Apr 9, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$213.50Apr 9, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?$537.60Apr 9, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?$11.20Apr 9, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$336.26Apr 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$666.75Apr 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?$500.84Apr 9, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$961.40Apr 9, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$200.45Apr 9, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$119.84Apr 9, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $309.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".