Honest-Sycamore
0xd3547f6d7c4b3ea30e0ca94dbe8049e402df4d78
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-358.39
Realised
$19.99
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
85 shares @ 11.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.18
$-6.51
- YES
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
240 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.12
$-1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
11755 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-56.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
6875 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
3325 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
2100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
1425 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
428 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?
328 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.39May 17, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.73May 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.26May 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$2.81May 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6.45May 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.82May 17, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.24May 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.33May 17, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00May 17, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$3.74May 17, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.69May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$7.68May 17, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$6.02May 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$4.22May 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.13May 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$3.12May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.81May 17, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.57May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6.93May 17, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$25.75May 17, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".