Innocent-Career
0xd3989ba133ab48b5b3a81e3dba9b37b5966a46d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$343.32
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3402 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.2K
$467.72
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.0K
$320.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3402 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$-467.72
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$800.00
$232.00
- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
500 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$500.00
$365.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
500 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$292.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
271 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$249.77
$0.00
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
256 shares @ 51.5¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$131.70
$-0.13
- YES
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
268 shares @ 38.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$100.40
$-3.34
- YES
Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?
5614 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$250.57May 18, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$134.39May 18, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$106.28May 18, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$298.63May 18, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $197.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".