Left-Poncho
0xd3a381c139e2906e1949b9d9a5dd8ff6492b3150
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$49.29
Total PnL
$-27.63
Realised
$21.00
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
16 shares @ 66.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.12
$4.56
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
72 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.64
$-1.44
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
168 shares @ 10.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.38
$-8.70
- YES
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
313 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$1.72
$-1.10
- YES
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
380 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.33
$0.19
- YES
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
730 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-1.09
- YES
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
73 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$0.83
$0.33
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.07May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.23May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.08May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.14May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.08May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.08May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03May 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.10May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.16May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.09May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.08May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.08May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.12May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.05May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.03May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.05May 18, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".