Cautious-Compliance
0xd3de5841d93c211eeda91628127e84fed4b4fe0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-18.75
Win rate
64%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
242 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$241.91
$-0.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?
225 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$223.98
$0.34
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
218 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$215.60
$1.41
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?
210 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$209.60
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
215 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.52
$-1.08
- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 in May?
145 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$144.77
$-0.07
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
200 shares @ 54.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$124.96
$16.99
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
118 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$116.87
$-0.06
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
113 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$108.79
$0.91
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
99 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$98.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$96.55May 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$105.04May 18, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$85.47May 18, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$90.61May 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$44.94May 18, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$5.60May 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$25.98May 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$384.07May 18, 10:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.38May 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.17May 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.05May 17, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$200.00May 17, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$95.09May 17, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$97.13May 17, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$99.02May 17, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$91.94May 17, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$88.57May 17, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$97.43May 17, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$92.02May 17, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $64.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".