Naive-Mission
0xd3f0b5749d2f3fb33c28234d6dbda59f49d9c18b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-53.9K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
9491 shares @ 58.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.9K
$-2.6K
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1009 shares @ 82.7¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$841.20
$7.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
86 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$85.71
$55.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
2440 shares @ 67.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
2367 shares @ 63.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
2266 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
2079 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
2014 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
1855 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
1708 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 16, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.33May 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$306.93May 14, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$716.17May 14, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$920.79May 14, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$511.90May 14, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$222.22May 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$201.40May 14, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$491.80May 14, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$308.19May 14, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.58May 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$8.00May 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00May 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$6.00May 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.01May 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$4.50May 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00May 14, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $125.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".