Finished-Wind
0xd44e974a3edb232aa4aedbdcc59792b76a5f67e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$275.5K
Total PnL
$56.3K
Realised
$18.6K
Win rate
100%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
39961 shares @ 57.2¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.6K
$2.7K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34862 shares @ 60.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.2K
$3.3K
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
26966 shares @ 68.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.7K
$4.2K
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
26794 shares @ 71.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.1K
$2.9K
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
21595 shares @ 92.1¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
19008 shares @ 62.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.3K
$2.3K
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
14011 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.6K
$1.5K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
13604 shares @ 88.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.0K
$909.90
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
12756 shares @ 53.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.8K
$4.9K
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
10556 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.2K
$415.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$46.54May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$936.14May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$238.86May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$7.2KMay 16, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$8.5KMay 16, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$831.08May 16, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $1.4KMay 16, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.5KMay 16, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 15, 16:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.99May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$15.00May 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$5.17May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.6KMay 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$8.90May 13, 07:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.49May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$87.62May 12, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $57.97May 12, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$255.00May 12, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $475.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".