Firsthand-Ease
0xd4787b1d1243d95d71fa6d4f1218093dadd40ed8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$805.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
1111 shares @ 11.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$755.28
$622.78
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
1903 shares @ 7.7¢·now 14.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$267.41
$121.07
- YES
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 30.8¢·now 93.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.40
$62.60
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
66 shares @ 15.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.94
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$104.40May 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$31.41May 16, 02:37 UTC
- REWARD$3.16May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$4.19May 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$17.56May 13, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$0.00May 13, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$104.41May 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.04May 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$7.70May 13, 03:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.75May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.70May 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.70May 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$8.40May 12, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$27.50May 12, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$10.34May 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$6.90May 8, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 8, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$0.00May 2, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00May 2, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 2, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $17.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 21:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".