Noteworthy-Pathology
0xd47fe3c4cb9dfb81af86bf54d56fbeac1b070e58
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$261.80
Total PnL
$-55.16
Realised
$-30.26
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.85
$5.35
- NO
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
40 shares @ 90.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$40.00
$3.72
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
25 shares @ 93.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.99
$0.51
- NO
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$2.40
- YES
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$2.40
- NO
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$2.00
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.80
$1.80
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$19.48
$1.88
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.69
$0.69
- NO
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
10 shares @ 90.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.05
$0.84
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".