Alarmed-Worm
0xd488b99bebebd372cbb53df48c629631cd9e7393
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$121.77
Total PnL
$-113.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
98 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$98.00
$28.42
- NO
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 20?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$12.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will the price of Solana be less than $50 on May 20?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
137 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-56.17
- TAMARA KORPATSCH
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch
60 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
- AURORA GAMING
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
58 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-37.70
- XTREME GAMING
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
55 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$570.37May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$21.25May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$571.03May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$567.15May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $50 on May 20?$11.00May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$354.00May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$297.17May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$235.00May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$297.16May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 20?$5.00May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$213.02May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 20?$8.00May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$382.03May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$18.51May 14, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch$29.85May 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$70.59May 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$707.28May 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$26.27May 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$420.00May 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$40.27May 8, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $264.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".