Fragrant-Interchange
0xd4932b0fa75ed34bbd4cf90183eb971d91d27f04
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$470.49
Total PnL
$106.49
Realised
$29.84
Win rate
90%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 5.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.62
$41.07
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
144 shares @ 3.7¢·now 32.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.37
$41.04
- YES
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
167 shares @ 0.5¢·now 24.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.25
$40.40
- YES
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
184 shares @ 4.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.38
$20.32
- NO
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
126 shares @ 7.8¢·now 18.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.92
$14.06
- YES
Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
109 shares @ 5.0¢·now 18.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.66
$15.20
- YES
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
112 shares @ 6.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$20.15
$13.44
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
160 shares @ 0.3¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$19.64
$19.09
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.00
$14.00
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
159 shares @ 0.5¢·now 9.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.91
$14.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$0.00May 1, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$0.00Apr 30, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ivan Fedotov win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 29, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joel Hofer win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 29, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonas Johansson win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 29, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Lankinen win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 29, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Philipp Grubauer win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 29, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arvid Soderblom win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 29, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joseph Woll win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 29, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Semyon Varlamov win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.00Apr 29, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEM1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?$0.00Apr 29, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Baena be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$0.01Apr 28, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.20Apr 28, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.14Apr 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$5.61Apr 28, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$0.00Apr 28, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00Apr 28, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00Apr 28, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00Apr 28, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.60Apr 27, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".