Thin-Legitimacy
0xd4949ff6934f1449e9d2a2f951349bf46aa88216
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$58.55
Total PnL
$-8.86
Realised
$0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.17
$7.03
- NO
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.45
$2.35
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$8.00
$0.90
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.13
$-0.88
- NO
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.75
$-1.25
- NO
Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" this week?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.52
$-0.47
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.30
$-1.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.23
$-0.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?$2.00May 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$0.39May 17, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week?$3.00May 17, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$0.11May 17, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" this week?$1.50May 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?$1.75May 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Saudi Arabia" this week?$1.50May 17, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$0.75May 17, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$0.25May 17, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" this week?$1.50May 17, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$1.50May 17, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$2.75May 17, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$9.99May 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$9.97May 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$22.98May 17, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$21.79May 16, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$9.90May 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$9.98May 16, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$0.00May 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Television" or "TV" this week?$1.00May 4, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".