Hard-To-Find-Phenomenon
0xd497873a13dc9f215fc86c04438c2894a5c142c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$14.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
3800 shares @ 44.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$-599.60
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.00
$-23.00
- NO
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
14000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.7K
- RED SOX
Red Sox vs. Brewers
1100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
34 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- LYON
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
5 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.4KMay 1, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.4KApr 30, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$10.75Apr 30, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$12.09Apr 30, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$15.00Apr 30, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$65.68Apr 30, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?$118.43Apr 30, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$600.00Apr 30, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$21.98Apr 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?$17.80Apr 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$359.54Apr 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10.54Apr 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$25.00Apr 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$63.33Apr 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$11.00Apr 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$10.00Apr 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$226.66Apr 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?$123.20Apr 15, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$25.34Apr 15, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.4KApr 15, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $219.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 01:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".