Gripping-Grandfather
0xd49becdcc6f4fdac2c662469c36e0e45a36b83ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$717.80
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-128.44
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
500 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$500.00
$415.00
- YES
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
899 shares @ 18.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.30
$6.60
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.50
$-37.50
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
5853 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-228.09
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
5000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?
2900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
2500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
2000 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-174.64
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
2000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
1000 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-118.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$108.15Feb 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$165.00Feb 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$41.96Feb 10, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$154.33Feb 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$60.67Feb 9, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$225.00Feb 9, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.04Feb 9, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$39.96Feb 9, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$93.99Feb 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$2.90Feb 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$11.60Feb 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$3.24Feb 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$29.00Feb 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$4.27Feb 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$121.35Jan 14, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$62.93Jan 14, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$62.93Jan 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$48.77Jan 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$288.00Jan 14, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$237.25Jan 14, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $83.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".