Rash-Molar
0xd50821a81d3218b3eda3c81a5beb088b7e58e84f
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$41.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
763 shares @ 85.2¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$633.20
$-16.80
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
533 shares @ 67.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$389.36
$29.36
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
861 shares @ 38.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$357.33
$27.33
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
109 shares @ 27.5¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.65
$-2.35
- NO
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.51
$3.51
- NO
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.86
$0.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.12May 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$10.06May 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTurkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?$14.07May 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.10May 14, 05:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$20.15May 13, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.49May 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$50.60May 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$20.15May 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$41.10May 13, 17:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $72.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".