Firm-Plier
0xd51bf2e4d798adc92df0f303ec341abce4b49606
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5600 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$532.00
$28.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$345.00
$15.00
- YES
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?
5205 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$148.33
$54.65
- YES
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?
2990 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$52.32
$-88.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
797 shares @ 6.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.11
$-23.92
- YES
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$1.02
$-18.48
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
3600 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
812 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-251.72
- COLORADO ROCKIES
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
620 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-248.00
- HOUSTON ASTROS
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds
610 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-250.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$205.56May 16, 23:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$253.03May 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$254.80May 11, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers$257.30May 11, 13:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants$249.47May 10, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants$2.25May 10, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants$490.00May 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Baltimore Orioles$520.00May 10, 02:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants$253.57May 9, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres$255.01May 9, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals$255.01May 9, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $210.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 17:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".