0xd5243dc06a3dbdfcb8a3b5acf455d4382e050f5a
0xd5243dc06a3dbdfcb8a3b5acf455d4382e050f5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
170
Open notional
$19.28
Total PnL
$-965.69
Realised
$-3.45
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- YES
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
2740 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$15.07
$-2.10
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
263 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.97
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
201 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.11
$-0.10
- OSAKA
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Maddison Inglis
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.71
$-0.55
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
122 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.43
$-0.06
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
8538 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.55
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
561 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 8?
360 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-28.62
- YES
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-03?$2.03May 3, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-03?$2.03May 3, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?$0.02May 1, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?$10.03May 1, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?$15.91May 1, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?$0.00Apr 28, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?$5.00Apr 28, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?$10.00Apr 28, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 27?$12.26Apr 28, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 27?$2.79Apr 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 27?$2.15Apr 27, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 27?$10.00Apr 27, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?$12.20Apr 27, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?$0.00Apr 27, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?$1.95Apr 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on April 27?$10.00Apr 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?$11.22Apr 27, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?$10.00Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 24?$0.00Apr 26, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?$10.83Apr 26, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".