Juvenile-Jicama
0xd53ef4238bab3af3dc1e81f4c5640dbf42a20b73
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-492.61
Win rate
36%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3635 shares @ 79.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$-391.29
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
819 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$766.00
$6.28
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
743 shares @ 90.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$689.79
$16.86
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2394 shares @ 35.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$682.03
$-169.10
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
535 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$500.26
$2.68
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
495 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$438.27
$-2.48
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
898 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$390.65
$-49.39
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
431 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$372.90
$-2.16
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
377 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$364.76
$6.97
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
264 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.82
$9.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$8.17May 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.02May 17, 08:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$7.43May 16, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$7.44May 16, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$19.67May 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.80May 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$120.27May 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$39.40May 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$32.36May 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$46.67May 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$53.33May 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.65May 16, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$12.75May 16, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$12.26May 16, 01:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.15May 15, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$43.17May 15, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$42.85May 15, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $34.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".