Adept-Limestone
0xd5b16277a1151b7a72f25e5bc4a4b4e920147754
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$877.02
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-412.49
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
607 shares @ 69.7¢·now 60.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$369.06
$-54.02
- YES
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
708 shares @ 17.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$283.20
$162.84
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
304 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$220.40
$-7.60
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.95
$0.60
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
188 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.41
$-39.95
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$-0.34
- YES
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $650M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
947 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-113.64
- CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS
California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers
766 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-92.69
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
531 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-69.03
- YES
Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?
448 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-94.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$608.42Apr 27, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?$120.36Apr 24, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$668.66Apr 23, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?$423.08Apr 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$747.60Apr 21, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$205.32Apr 21, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$956.40Apr 14, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$493.00Apr 13, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$601.00Apr 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?$33.02Apr 12, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?$11.84Apr 11, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?$181.24Apr 11, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?$134.67Apr 11, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?$819.00Apr 11, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$84.42Apr 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$192.56Apr 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$7.56Apr 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$105.72Apr 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$562.02Apr 9, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$1.1KApr 8, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $263.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 08:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".