Well-Informed-Pier
0xd5db05423b6718497684ae1bbe1557746d2c3c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
199
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-20.7K
Realised
$-166.16
Win rate
44%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 199- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1649 shares @ 34.4¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$582.09
$13.90
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
424 shares @ 23.7¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$107.48
$6.80
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
11327 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.62
$-45.62
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
3704 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.52
$-57.30
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
3079 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.13
$-101.56
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
11027 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.14
$21.00
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
454 shares @ 12.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.16
$-3.84
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
820 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.08
$-13.12
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
300 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
8918 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.38
$-159.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$25.54May 17, 11:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.59May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$43.80May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$9.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$345.58May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$198.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$180.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$180.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$937.23May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$9.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$198.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$10.27May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$103.51May 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.07May 16, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$104.47May 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$21.16May 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.67May 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$12.94May 16, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $68.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".