Adept-Oar
0xd5dcf9043989926bcae732a2428aebdc64b917d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$693.28
Total PnL
$-554.11
Realised
$-3.03
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
296 shares @ 67.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$273.75
$73.75
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
188 shares @ 53.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$161.05
$61.05
- NO
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
202 shares @ 89.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$123.37
$-56.63
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1176 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$39.60
$29.60
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.34
$-7.66
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.25
$-7.75
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.92
$-8.09
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1096 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$10.27May 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$180.99May 16, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.39May 15, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.38May 15, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.26May 15, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.00May 14, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$20.00May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$101.88May 11, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$10.44May 10, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$10.25May 10, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$202.59May 10, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$10.49May 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.57May 9, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$148.25May 9, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$51.87May 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$71.50May 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$9.12May 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$34.70May 6, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$1.32May 6, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$96.87May 6, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $59.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".