Taut-Mud
0xd60fa08b1bae2a8f8615f0efa617f811a159b6c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
31%
89 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
673 shares @ 68.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$461.26
$-1.32
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
340 shares @ 74.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$321.14
$66.92
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
317 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$302.88
$10.58
- NO
Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
145 shares @ 86.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$143.13
$17.72
- NO
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
142 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$141.16
$-0.28
- NO
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?
141 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$139.59
$0.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
371 shares @ 30.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.98
$2.38
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
94 shares @ 85.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$73.10
$-7.73
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
72 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$70.88
$0.54
- YES
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
60 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$56.10
$2.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMParis FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5$20.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMInter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score$20.00May 18, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17?$20.00May 18, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5$20.00May 18, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?$20.00May 18, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 0.5$1.23May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5$11.55May 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5$4.91May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5$9.55May 17, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMLeeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5$20.00May 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOlympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5$11.55May 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17?$7.14May 17, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)$20.00May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score$7.14May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?$4.91May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5$1.23May 17, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5$9.55May 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5$8.35May 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5$5.92May 17, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 89 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".