Serious-Governance
0xd62840cf26fab216a46c5c9e9920487098e243c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$407.94
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
58803 shares @ 16.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$-6.1K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4618 shares @ 43.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$808.11
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
71 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.64
$-2.50
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.53
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
26500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-403.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$25.10Apr 16, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.09Apr 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 15, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.95Apr 15, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.75Apr 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.23Apr 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.68Apr 15, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$9.36Apr 15, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 15, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.20Apr 15, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.07Apr 15, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.29Apr 15, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.37Apr 15, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.20Apr 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.08Apr 15, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.92Apr 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.68Apr 15, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$18.1KApr 12, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 12, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".