Ambitious-Accident
0xd6289d12736536235cf0793f273692c066f39356
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$775.20
Total PnL
$-394.78
Realised
$152.90
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?
4291 shares @ 16.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$600.80
$-93.90
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
208 shares @ 42.6¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$134.94
$46.42
- NO
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the July decision?
27 shares @ 93.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$26.32
$1.20
- YES
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
32 shares @ 26.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.90
$1.60
- NO
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$3.24
$2.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 15?
977 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-59.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 13?
170 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 5?
168 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-39.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 6?
167 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-28.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 8?
145 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?$6.78May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?$9.23May 18, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?$1.55May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?$14.38May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?$10.50May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?$14.86May 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?$4.03May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?$4.34May 17, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$8.35May 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$5.00May 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$2.75May 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$10.79May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$25.07May 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 18?$5.58May 17, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?$12.23May 17, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?$200.00May 17, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?$3.88May 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?$0.23May 17, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 17?$32.79May 17, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?$6.73May 16, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".