Imperfect-Cage
0xd63a431f40001ba5df31ef53ea1685185b8d90a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$242.45
Total PnL
$-20.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?
222 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$200.23
$-11.07
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 18?
40 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$38.45
$-0.15
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.77
$-1.23
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 8?
17 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 12?
16 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?$16.18May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 18?$24.04May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 18?$9.52May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?$95.19May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?$95.19May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 18?$5.11May 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?$5.16May 18, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$250.00May 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?$23.32May 13, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 12?$183.91May 12, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 12?$50.00May 12, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $28.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".