Accurate-Necessity-Exhaust
0xd642b2abf0fec0a1274c56134b8ae014acdecb68
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$65.46
Total PnL
$-3.70
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
54 shares @ 36.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.49
$17.81
- YES
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.25
$-20.75
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.96
$-0.16
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.57
$0.01
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 10.3¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.51
$0.39
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.47
$0.05
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.05
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.83
$-0.19
- YES
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
20 shares @ 5.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$9.78Apr 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?$9.78Apr 28, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?$11.41Apr 28, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$13.40Apr 28, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?$0.95Apr 28, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?$23.05Apr 28, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.03Apr 28, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.31Apr 28, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$1.18Apr 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?$1.02Apr 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$10.11Apr 15, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$7.97Apr 15, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.93Apr 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.93Apr 15, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$6.10Apr 15, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$6.28Apr 15, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$5.93Apr 15, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.93Apr 15, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$6.35Apr 15, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 02:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".