Frosty-Rugby
0xd648aa21b900f4e936c7232f544e532eb8df2cfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$364.19
Total PnL
$-11.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
137 shares @ 50.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$137.37
$67.37
- YES
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?
75 shares @ 37.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$74.94
$46.94
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$50.00
$20.00
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
37 shares @ 81.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.30
$2.30
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$29.85
$9.85
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
116 shares @ 27.7¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$26.20
$-6.10
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
100 shares @ 32.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.54
$-19.46
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?
1206 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
793 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$30.00Jan 31, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$20.00Jan 31, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$15.00Jan 30, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?$28.00Jan 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$6.05Jan 30, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$5.00Jan 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$10.00Jan 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFederal Judge rules against Operation Metro Surge by Friday?$0.63Jan 30, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?$0.61Jan 30, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fed chair announcement?$12.00Jan 30, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMGold (GC) Up or Down on January 28?$21.95Jan 29, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain join the Board of Peace?$10.00Jan 29, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy join the Board of Peace?$18.00Jan 29, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?$5.00Jan 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$6.00Jan 29, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$32.30Jan 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artemis II launch by February 7?$11.69Jan 28, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?$19.75Jan 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$5.00Jan 28, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?$8.00Jan 28, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $17.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".