Mild-Prize
0xd6629d7d90f6228f48585230f60f69c04e7648fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-570.84
Realised
$-92.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
4901 shares @ 18.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$955.63
$57.20
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4571 shares @ 20.2¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$852.54
$-71.65
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
1776 shares @ 40.8¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$799.35
$74.17
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
897 shares @ 33.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$668.32
$367.10
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2380 shares @ 20.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$511.63
$19.32
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2301 shares @ 14.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$494.64
$154.60
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
5359 shares @ 13.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$455.52
$-260.01
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1272 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$387.93
$-57.23
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
1171 shares @ 30.8¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$327.90
$-32.57
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
815 shares @ 27.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.68
$-26.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.21May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.46May 14, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$739.88May 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$51.91May 14, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$103.08May 14, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$103.08May 14, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$51.52May 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency? $51.39May 14, 03:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$33.01May 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$206.40May 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$239.37May 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$38.14May 13, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$50.29May 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$5.19May 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$93.09May 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$111.08May 13, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $143.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".