Ill-Contest
0xd6a801ba05182a51cca462de08d57f5acaf3afd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$51.24
Total PnL
$0.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
29 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$28.93
$0.09
- NO
Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
7 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.96
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 18?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.69
$0.03
- NO
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 6 - 0 Burnley FC?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.87
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?$5.96May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 18?$5.66May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 6 - 0 Burnley FC?$3.88May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$6.80May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$28.84Apr 16, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.79Apr 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.18Apr 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$32.15Apr 4, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$32.25Mar 27, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$24.00Mar 25, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$24.05Mar 18, 07:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.42Mar 16, 15:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.44Mar 9, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $20.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".