Gargantuan-Flicker
0xd6d6de1c8e676470427ed71be87d6b16eb15aa46
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$350.60
Total PnL
$-50.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
130 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.75
$-5.85
- NO
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
100 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$100.00
$1.80
- NO
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$99.85
$0.25
- NO
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
50 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$50.00
$1.35
- YES
Will fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?
100 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.70
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Flyers
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.13
- ISLANDERS
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.83
- SENATORS
Predators vs. Senators
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$99.60Apr 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$8.20Apr 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$16.40Mar 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$16.40Mar 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$16.40Mar 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$16.40Mar 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$16.40Mar 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$16.40Mar 30, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$98.20Mar 30, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$48.65Mar 30, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marques Brownlee's next video get between 8.5–10.0 million views on week 1?$1.82Mar 30, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$20.00Mar 30, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?$41.61Mar 30, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$70.00Mar 30, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?$71.23Mar 30, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill no vote occur on a new funding bill by October 31?$100.00Mar 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no vote occur on a new funding bill by October 31?$48.30Oct 15, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?$16.81Oct 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?$16.89Oct 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$13.60Oct 14, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $229.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".