Identical-Formamide
0xd6f12b5a032dd7fd9ef3804cb0548538bf751abb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$535.88
Total PnL
$214.78
Realised
$131.92
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
339 shares @ 89.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$332.87
$29.66
- YES
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.00
$71.00
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
900 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.50
$-13.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
330 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.99
$-4.20
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
80 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.52
$4.12
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.65
$1.15
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
80 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.08
$-1.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
737 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.26
$-4.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$0.35May 12, 11:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$169.50May 6, 08:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$1.00May 5, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$5.69May 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$5.00May 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.30May 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.00May 5, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $25.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".