Quarterly-Humidity
0xd6fa07ff19d2e2d3ec77c7621fffe67be54b4f2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$820.47
Total PnL
$-148.11
Realised
$-63.62
Win rate
24%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?
51 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.20
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat?
51 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.69
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?
51 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.17
$-0.26
- NO
Will Jillian Gilchrest be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?
43 shares @ 97.3¢·now 95.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$41.57
$-0.74
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
41 shares @ 96.1¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.50
$-0.90
- NO
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31?
42 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.84
$0.20
- NO
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
31 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.21
$0.29
- NO
Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
30 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$29.09
$0.03
- NO
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
29 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$26.93
$-0.14
- YES
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?
21 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 27, 2026$20.44
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$0.14May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$18.69May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?$0.18May 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?$0.24May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$20.16May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$0.59May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.04May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$2.54May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kherson by June 30?$10.00May 18, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?$0.10May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$1.69May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.05May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$0.46May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?$3.24May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?$4.04May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$4.10May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?$11.48May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.10May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.54May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.01May 18, 05:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".