Quirky-Constellation
0xd6fffae7dc454c908b20c4086dc31e43e9220205
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$141.51
Total PnL
$-27.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lens win Coupe de France?
123 shares @ 80.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$89.29
$-10.13
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$26.59
$6.59
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
563 shares @ 5.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$25.62
$-4.37
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
159 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lens win Coupe de France?$100.00Apr 23, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?$50.26Apr 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?$59.92Apr 22, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?$40.00Apr 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?$40.00Apr 22, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$25.79Apr 22, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score$87.35Apr 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score$50.00Apr 19, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?$28.28Apr 19, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17.44Apr 19, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.42Apr 19, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?$1.54Apr 18, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?$20.00Apr 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$20.00Apr 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?$20.00Apr 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?$38.01Apr 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?$25.00Apr 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.00Apr 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$56.83Apr 14, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Apr 14, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $34.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".