Candid-Calculus
0xd719eb46721f2618185c99c19d93ba609c01d8e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$516.45
Total PnL
$-623.54
Realised
$9.20
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
616 shares @ 74.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$187.88
$-267.96
- YES
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
183 shares @ 91.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$132.67
$-33.85
- YES
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
88 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.00
$24.64
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
184 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.04
$-2.76
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
28 shares @ 51.0¢·now 54.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.19
$1.07
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
12 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$10.95
$-0.21
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.62
$0.83
- YES
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
168 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-107.86
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 44% and 46%?
137 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-17.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?$1.00May 7, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?$1.00May 7, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$2.00May 7, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$4.00May 7, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$210.00May 7, 10:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 31, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 30, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 29, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 28, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 27, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 24, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 23, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 22, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 21, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 20, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 18, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".