Full-Gearshift
0xd71a00e4cd4c7caeedaad16b1b16eae72cbd78c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$286.91
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1632 shares @ 91.9¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$-2.44
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1209 shares @ 82.7¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$988.51
$-11.49
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3031 shares @ 30.8¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$753.16
$-179.83
- NO
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
413 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$396.64
$6.64
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
219 shares @ 91.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$196.96
$-3.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
202 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$180.62
$1.01
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$166.50
$-33.50
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
129 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$124.97
$-0.04
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$111.00
$11.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?
116 shares @ 86.1¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$103.32
$3.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$398.56May 18, 11:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$200.68May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$200.41May 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$200.72May 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$492.53May 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$491.38May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$99.71May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$190.46May 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$200.72May 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$100.74May 17, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$501.80May 17, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$503.58May 17, 18:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.5KMay 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KMay 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$513.48May 16, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$241.91May 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$542.90May 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.3KMay 16, 23:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $420.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".