Modest-Auction
0xd77debb259be5c25fc6334e0684c1116fb90e0d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.8K
Total PnL
$913.79
Realised
$11.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
7842 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.7K
$195.77
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
4555 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.2K
$614.92
- NO
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
973 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$967.60
$3.93
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
454 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$453.46
$72.36
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$395.40
$15.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.80
$0.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$295.37May 8, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$68.97May 4, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$199.00May 4, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$666.67May 4, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$800.00May 4, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.6KMay 4, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.4KMay 4, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$381.10Apr 27, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?$298.00Apr 27, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$440.44Apr 26, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$110.11Apr 25, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$110.11Apr 25, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.12Apr 25, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$988.03Apr 25, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$21.19Apr 25, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$398.00Apr 25, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$398.00Apr 25, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$197.81Apr 23, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$190.00Apr 22, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$104.42Apr 22, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $542.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".