Afraid-Retrospect
0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-78.60
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
2500 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$100.66
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1900 shares @ 63.8¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$669.75
$-543.54
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
950 shares @ 36.2¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$403.74
$59.75
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
1000 shares @ 30.5¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$360.00
$55.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
4700 shares @ 10.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$352.50
$-141.48
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
902 shares @ 31.6¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$329.31
$44.66
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
1200 shares @ 19.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$306.00
$72.70
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
1865 shares @ 17.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.79
$-126.44
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$45.00
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
1100 shares @ 22.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.53
$-121.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.95May 18, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$2.25May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$1.76May 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.47May 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.85May 18, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.44May 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.10May 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$7.60May 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$150.00May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$16.89May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$155.00May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$33.06May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.25May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.20May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.21May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.19May 18, 06:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $17.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".